The Muslim Percentage in West Bengal and Mamata Banerjee's Confidence

West Bengal is home to a diverse population, with Muslims accounting for approximately 27% of the total population. This religious demographic plays a significant role in the political landscape of the state. Notably, an overwhelming 99.99% of West Bengal's Muslims are opposed to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). This dynamic is crucial to understanding the political scenarios and voting patterns in the region.

Divided Votes and Political Landscape

The 27% of the Muslim population in West Bengal is divided among four major political parties: Trinamool Congress (TMC), Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPIM), Congress, and independent forces. TMC emerges as the dominant party, securing a major share of the Muslim vote, estimated at around 50-60%. Following this, the Congress party captures approximately 20% of the vote, while the others are divided among CPIM and independent individuals.

Mamata Banerjee's Confidence

Mamata Banerjee, the leader of the TMC, expresses confidence in her party's ability to secure victories in West Bengal. Her confidence stems from the poor handling of the situation by the BJP leaders, both in the state and at the central level. This confidence further allows her to pivot her focus toward national politics.

Stupidity among BJP Leaders

A recent statement by Dilip Ghosh, a BJP leader, revealed his plan to expel all Bangladeshis once in power. Similarly, Amit Shah echoed the same sentiment. However, internal issues within the BJP threaten to undermine these intentions. The BJP is already the main opposition in West Bengal, and a portion of its vote bank comprises Bangladeshi Hindus who fled Bengal due to fear of torture. These individuals hold a strong hatred for Muslims and were politically aligned with BJP.

Dialogue with Bangladeshi Hindus

Despite these sentiments, a recent conversation with several Bangladeshi Hindus in Kolkata challenged the narrative. During a heavy rainfall, these individuals were approached, and the discussed issues revealed a significant shift in their political leanings. The subjects now express anger and disdain toward BJP, indicating a change in their support base.

Local BJP Leaders and Central Leadership

Furthermore, the disconnect between local BJP leaders and the central leadership is evident. This fragmentation is evident in statements made by Prime Minister Modi, such as the West Medinapore rally issue, which did not resonate well with the rural population. However, a more pertinent issue that could incite a strong response in the South Bengal region is the VENAMI issue. Venami is a breed of prawns that can grow in salty water, a profitable yet controversial practice in West Bengal.

The VENAMI Issue

Data shows that the TMC is using violence to convert rice fields into saltpan ponds, which causes long-term damages to rice cultivation. This business strategy has been beneficial in the short term but devastating for the local farmers and their livelihoods. The VENAMI issue is a critical point that could resonate deeply with the local population, as it directly affects their livelihoods and well-being.

Experiences of Farmers

A detailed account of such practices can be found in this article from The Times of India. The conversion of rice fields to saltpan ponds, particularly in East Midnapore, highlights the disregard for the local populace and the devastating impact on their lives.

In conclusion, the Muslim population in West Bengal plays a significant role in the political ecosystem. The confidence displayed by Mamata Banerjee in her party's ability to secure victories is largely due to internal BJP issues and changing public sentiment. The VENAMI issue represents a critical divide that can affect public opinion and political support.