Understanding the Complex Geopolitical Landscape of Yemen: A Proxy War and Its Aftermath
The geopolitical landscape of Yemen is a complex and evolving arena, marked by proxy conflicts, civil war, and the influence of major regional and global powers. This article explores the issues plaguing Yemen, the role of foreign players, and the humanitarian crisis faced by the Yemeni people. The aim is to provide a deeper understanding of the situation and its implications for regional and global stability.
Yemen in Proxy Wars: A Crucial Battlefield
Yemen finds itself in the middle of a proxy war, with opposing forces supported by Saudi Arabia, backed by the United States, and Iran, with Save the Children estimating that at least 70,000 children have died due to starvation, bombing, and lack of medical care. The conflict is fueled by MBS (Mohammed bin Salman) and his aggressive policies, which have the inadvertent consequence of exacerbating the suffering of the Yemeni people. The ongoing war has led to a humanitarian crisis, with millions displaced and in need of aid.
The Role of Regional Players
The involvement of regional players such as Iran, Turkey, Russia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) adds a layer of complexity to the conflict. Dr. Edy Cohen discusses how Iran has successfully coopted local separatist movements and uprisings, aiming to create a network of proxies with international reach. The Houthi’s "Khums" tax, for instance, is intended to establish a system of land, property, and natural resource acquisition to support Iran's geopolitical agenda.
Turkey and Russia's Engagement in Yemen
Turkey and Russia are engaged in separate proxy conflicts in Syria and Libya but could be drawn into Yemen, potentially leading to a collision of interests. Dr. Cohen suggests that Turkey should avoid aggressive Islamist takeovers and respect Russia’s desire to share gas profits, exercise political influence in the region, and retain access to strategic waterways.
Humanitarian and Security Implications
The Arab states, including Israel, are grappling with the humanitarian and security implications of the Yemen conflict. Uzi Rubin highlights the missile threat originating from Yemen and warns that Israel must establish an alert system and defense capabilities against potential attacks. The Arab states must also address the issue of human dignity, as exemplified by the destruction of the main burial place of Yemeni Jewish dead in Aden.
The UAE's Withdrawal and Geopolitical Dynamics
The UAE's decision to withdraw most of its forces from Yemen has revealed underlying geopolitical complexities. Res. Col. Dr. Shaul Shay discusses how this move suggests the UAE's preparation for a potential US military confrontation with Iran. The pullback also reflects the nuanced differences between Saudi Arabia and the UAE in their approaches to Yemen. These dynamics raise questions about the future of the Arab Coalition and the stability of the region.
Tehran's Strategy in Yemen
Irina Tsukerman elaborates on Iran's strategic objectives in Yemen, including the establishment of naval bases, control of strategic waterways, and the terrorization of Sunni populations. The Houthis in Yemen are following Iran's Hezbollah model, gaining sympathy through propaganda while perpetrating ruthless attacks on civilians. This has broader implications for regional stability and global security.
Conclusion
The ongoing conflict in Yemen is a multifaceted issue with significant implications for the Middle East and the global community. Understanding the role of proxy forces, the humanitarian crisis, and the geopolitical strategies of regional and global powers is crucial for addressing this complex situation effectively. The international community must work together to find sustainable solutions and to ensure the safety and well-being of the Yemeni people.